Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.239423 0.271626 0.306056 0.345546 0.389531 0.436957 0.491903
2025-10-12 0.200464 0.244375 0.294311 0.355098 0.426871 0.508690 0.608783
2025-10-19 0.169851 0.220316 0.280826 0.358283 0.454309 0.568919 0.715485
2025-10-26 0.149002 0.204169 0.273462 0.366122 0.485904 0.634553 0.831879
2025-11-02 0.133779 0.192574 0.269553 0.376545 0.520021 0.704206 0.956692
2025-11-09 0.117235 0.176819 0.257939 0.374823 0.536969 0.751688 1.054776
2025-11-16 0.103907 0.163691 0.248087 0.373793 0.553660 0.798647 1.153698
2025-11-23 0.092579 0.151982 0.238750 0.372060 0.568361 0.842758 1.250152
2025-11-30 0.085550 0.145817 0.236615 0.380064 0.596791 0.906805 1.377011
2025-12-07 0.077545 0.137173 0.229784 0.380148 0.613062 0.953732 1.481147
2025-12-14 0.070558 0.129357 0.223387 0.380074 0.628585 0.999768 1.585583
2025-12-21 0.064584 0.122552 0.217881 0.380716 0.644819 1.047162 1.693712
2025-12-28 0.060055 0.117940 0.215814 0.387137 0.671179 1.112331 1.833802
2026-01-04 0.056695 0.115038 0.216316 0.397725 0.704741 1.190231 1.997258
2026-01-11 0.052485 0.110114 0.212866 0.401259 0.726770 1.250878 2.136398
2026-01-18 0.049479 0.107116 0.212493 0.409937 0.757697 1.327018 2.303419
2026-01-25 0.047142 0.105152 0.213761 0.421469 0.793960 1.413327 2.490461
2026-02-01 0.043218 0.099584 0.207865 0.419566 0.806623 1.460988 2.615989
2026-02-08 0.039781 0.094624 0.202654 0.418427 0.820350 1.510769 2.746827
2026-02-15 0.036586 0.089813 0.197288 0.416510 0.832367 1.557910 2.874875
2026-02-22 0.034843 0.087960 0.197586 0.425363 0.864398 1.640832 3.067160
2026-03-01 0.032346 0.084143 0.193574 0.425456 0.880021 1.695500 3.212562
2026-03-08 0.030050 0.080525 0.189648 0.425374 0.895166 1.749772 3.359191